The Election Interference Show: Act 2

Ineligible voter roll names AT WORST smaller than a rounding error - announces Markytwonames

One of my favourite things about watching election integrity advocates is how often they accidentally prove the opposite of what they’re trying to prove. And Senator Markwayne Mullin just gave us a masterclass in self-sabotage.

Here’s what Mullin said: “One thing that I love about numbers and I love about facts is they don’t lie.”

Markwayne, you’re absolutely right. Your numbers don’t lie. They just don’t say what you think they say.

Let me walk you through what your own audit actually found.

The Numbers Mullin Loves

Across 23 states, Mullin’s team identified:

• 400,000 dead people on voter rolls

• 28,000 non-citizens in those same proactive states

• An additional 250,000 non-citizens in just four states: California, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Nevada

That’s a total of 678,000 ineligible names across the 23 states that participated with him PLUS the 4 he got data from some other way.

Now, Mullin asked: “What can we find when we have all 50 participating with us?”

It’s a good question. Let’s do the maths.

The Math Even a Middle-schooler Could Do

In the four states where Mullin found his highest concentration of non-citizens, he identified 250,000. That’s his smoking gun. That’s the evidence he’s waving around.

California, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Nevada have a combined voting age population of approximately 46.2 million people.

250,000 divided by 46.2 million equals 0.54%.

Let me say that again: In the states where Markwayne Mullin found the most evidence of voter fraud, it amounts to half of one percent of eligible voters. And that’s assuming, worst case scenario, that every single one of those 250,000 people actually voted, and they all voted the same way, and they weren’t caught by any verification system.

Extrapolate If You Must

But let’s be generous. Let’s say the pattern holds across all 50 states. Let’s say every state has proportionally similar problems.

400,000 dead voters identified in 23 states? Average that out, you get roughly 17,000 per state. Times 50 states, you’re at approximately 869,000 dead voters on rolls nationwide.

278,000 non-citizens across 27 states? You’re looking at another 500,000 or so nationally when you extrapolate.

Add them together: You’re somewhere in the neighbourhood of 1.3 to 1.5 million ineligible names on voter rolls across the entire country.

The United States has a voting age population of approximately 230 million people.

1.5 million divided by 230 million equals 0.65%.

Even in the most catastrophic interpretation of Mullin’s own numbers, even if every single ineligible person on those rolls actually showed up and cast a fraudulent vote, including the dead ones, we’re talking about an effect of less than two-thirds of one percent on the national electorate.

What That Actually Means

Here’s the thing about 0.65%: It’s a rounding error. It’s noise. It’s the margin of error in a poll, not the margin of victory in an election.

In a country where presidential elections are decided by millions of votes, where statewide races are often decided by hundreds of thousands, Mullin’s own audit proves that voter fraud, even under the most generous interpretation, is statistically immaterial.

His receipts don’t support his narrative. His numbers don’t lie. They just prove that whatever problem exists on voter rolls, it’s not the existential threat to democracy he’s been claiming.

The Gift

And here’s the beautiful part: Mullin asked the question himself. “What can we find when all 50 participating with us?”

The answer, Markwayne, is more of the same. More rounding errors. More statistical noise. More evidence that your own audit, your own numbers, your own facts, prove that American elections are not being stolen by ineligible voters on rolls.

Because numbers don’t lie.

Sources

Mullin’s statements:

• “One thing that I love about numbers and I love about facts is they don’t lie” — Senator Markwayne Mullin, AP News on YouTube, “LIVE: Markwayne Mullin holds a press conference on election security,” 17 July 2026

• “What can we find when we have all 50 participating with us?” — Senator Markwayne Mullin, AP News on YouTube, “LIVE: Markwayne Mullin holds a press conference on election security,” 17 July 2026

Data cited:

• 400,000 dead voters identified in 23 proactive states

• 28,000 non-citizens in 23 proactive states

• 250,000 non-citizens in California, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Nevada

• US voting age population: ~230 million (US Census Bureau, Voting Age Population estimates)

• Combined voting age population of CA, PA, NJ, NV: ~46.2 million

Calculations:

• 250,000 ÷ 46.2M = 0.54% of eligible voters in four-state sample

• 678,000 across 23 states extrapolated to 50 states ≈ 1.47 million nationally

• 1.47M ÷ 230M = 0.64% of national voting age population

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